The Impact of Climate Change on the Modification of Bioclimatic Conditions in Bosnia and Herzegovina
PDFAbstract: This paper presents the results of research into possible climate change in Bosnia and Herzegovina and its potential impact on bioclimatic conditions. Results of possible changes in surface air temperature and precipitation, obtained using the regional climate model EBU-POM, were used to assess changes on the Hydrothermal coefficient of Seljaninov (HTC) for the 2001–2030 and 2071–2100 periods, according to the A1B and A2 scenarios of IPCC. For this study, initial and lateral boundary conditions for the regional model were taken from the ECHAM5 global climate model. More serious changes can be expected during the period of 2071–2100.
Keywords: Climate change, climate models, bioclimat conditions, Bosnia and Herzegovina REFERENCES [1] Bajic, D., Trbic, G., Application of GIS and regression models in modeling temperature change on the example of Republika Srpska, Herald, Vol.14, 2010, pp. 91–99. [1] Bajic, D., Trbic, G., Application of GIS and regression models in modeling temperature change on the example of Republika Srpska, Herald, Vol.14, 2010, pp. 91–99. [2] Trbic, G., Ducic, V., Rudan, N., Majstorovic, Z., Lukovic, J., Regional changes of precipitation amount in Bosnia and Herzegovina. 6-th International Scientific Conference Dedicated to the International Earth Day, Sofia, 2010. [3] IPCC, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D.Qim, G.-K Plattner, M.Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung,A. Nauels, Y.Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Migley (eds.)], Cambridge University Press, 2013. [4] Spasova, D., Trbic, G., Majstorovic, Z., Trkulja, V., Study for climate change impact assessment on agriculture and adaptation strategy development in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Government of Republika Srpska, Ministry of physical planning, civil engineering and ecology, Regional Environmental Center, 2007. [5] Cupac, R., Trbic, G., Bajic, D., Vukmir, G. et al. Second national communication of Bosnia and Herzegovina under the United Nations framework convention on climate change, UNDP Bosnia and Herzegovina, 2013. [6] Djurdjevic, V., Rajkovic, B., Verification of a coupled atmosphere-ocean model using satellite observations over the Adriatic Sea, Annales Geophysicae, Vol.26, No.7, 2008, pp. 1935– 1954.
Cite this paper
Goran Trbic, Davorin Bajic, Vladimir Djudjdevic, Cedomir Crnogorac, Tatjana Popov, Radoslav Dekic, Aleksandra Petrasevic, Vesna Rajcevic. (2016) The Impact of Climate Change on the Modification of Bioclimatic Conditions in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Environmental Science, 1 , 176-182
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